[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 092102
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT TUE AUG 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.4N  57.7W      47  X  X  X 47   25.7N  60.5W       X 24  3  1 28
24.7N  59.5W       9 25  X  1 35   BERMUDA            X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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