[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 091458
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.6N  57.9W      50  X  X  1 51   26.3N  62.6W       X  7 20  1 28
25.0N  60.3W       1 33  X  X 34   BERMUDA            X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KORTY


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