[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 070231
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT AUG 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE AUG  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.0N  52.8W      26  1  X  X 27   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1  2  3
38.5N  51.0W      10  9  1  1 21   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  2  5  7
39.7N  48.6W       1 10  5  2 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI


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