[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 060851
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE AUG  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.6N  55.1W      26  1  X  X 27   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
37.2N  53.8W      11  7  2  X 20   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  2  4  6
39.2N  51.2W       X  9  7  1 17   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  3  6  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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