[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 6 03:24:25 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 060823
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE AUG  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.8N  46.4W      47  X  X  X 47   20.1N  51.0W       X 18  7  1 26
19.4N  48.6W      19 14  X  X 33

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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