[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 052025
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON AUG  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.0N  43.5W      49  X  X  X 49   21.5N  48.0W       X 15 13  1 29
20.0N  45.5W      17 17  X  1 35

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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