[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 040833
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN AUG  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.6N  60.8W      29  1  X  X 30   33.3N  58.3W       5  8  4  2 19
32.9N  59.5W      15  5  1  1 22   BERMUDA           99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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