[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 3 13:31:14 CDT 2005


WTNT43 KNHC 031830
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED AUG 03 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND FORECAST
INTENSITY FOR HARVEY...AND TO UPDATE THE WIND RADII.
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FOUND 62 KT AT 1200 FT IN THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT...AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 999 MB.  THE 62 KT
FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND SUPPORTS ABOUT 50 KT AT THE SURFACE...AND IN FACT
THE FLIGHT CREW MADE A VISUAL ESTIMATE OF 60 KT SURFACE WINDS.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      03/1800Z 30.9N  67.7W    50 KT
 12HR VT     04/0000Z 31.8N  66.6W    55 KT
 24HR VT     04/1200Z 32.6N  64.3W    55 KT
 36HR VT     05/0000Z 33.3N  61.7W    50 KT
 48HR VT     05/1200Z 34.0N  59.5W    45 KT
 72HR VT     06/1200Z 35.5N  56.0W    40 KT
 96HR VT     07/1200Z 38.0N  51.0W    35 KT
120HR VT     08/1200Z 41.0N  45.0W    30 KT


$$
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