[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 3 09:31:32 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 031431
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.6N  64.3W      22  2  X  1 25   BERMUDA           26  1  X  X 27
33.3N  61.7W       1 13  3  1 18   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
34.0N  59.5W       X  4  8  3 15

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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