[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 2 15:37:52 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 022037
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 02 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG  5 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.0N  66.7W      30  2  X  X 32   BERMUDA            4 16  1  1 22
33.3N  64.7W       1 16  3  X 20   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
33.8N  62.2W       X  3 10  3 16

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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