[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 010232
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 30 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN OCT  3 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

39.0N  44.8W      29  1  1  X 31   45.0N  33.0W       X  X  9  X  9
42.2N  40.4W       1 14  3  X 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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