[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 29 21:29:29 CDT 2004


WTNT73 KNHC 300228
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT OCT  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.7N  47.5W      34  1  X  X 35   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
36.7N  47.0W      16  5  1  1 23   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
38.6N  45.0W       1  9  6  2 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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