[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 29 21:29:29 CDT 2004
WTNT73 KNHC 300228
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 29 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SAT OCT 2 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.7N 47.5W 34 1 X X 35 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 2 2
36.7N 47.0W 16 5 1 1 23 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X 1 5 6
38.6N 45.0W 1 9 6 2 18
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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