[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 292032
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT OCT  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  47.3W      29  X  X  X 29   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
36.0N  47.5W      13  5  1  1 20   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
38.0N  46.5W       1 10  4  1 16

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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