[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 290830
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT OCT  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.3N  47.0W      28  1  X  X 29   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
33.0N  48.0W      13  6  1  1 21   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2
35.0N  48.5W       1 11  3  2 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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