[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 28 21:31:39 CDT 2004


WTNT73 KNHC 290231
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 28 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI OCT  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.5N  47.3W      29  X  X  1 30   34.0N  48.7W       1 12  3  2 18
32.3N  48.2W      11  9  1  1 22   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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