[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 282038
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 28 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI OCT  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.0N  46.8W      31  X  X  1 32   34.0N  48.0W       1 11  4  2 18
32.0N  47.3W      11 10  1  1 23   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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