[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 271445
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  56
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 30 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.8N  81.7W      32  X  X  X 32   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  5  5 10
36.3N  78.2W       1 15  1  X 17   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  7  9
37.0N  74.4W       X  4  8  2 14   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  8  9
BERMUDA            X  X  X  5  5   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  8  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    3  X  X  X  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  7  8
SAVANNAH GA       27  X  X  X 27   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  7  8
CHARLESTON SC     20  1  X  X 21   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC   11  7  X  1 19   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC      3 13  1  X 17   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X 13  2  X 15   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X 10  4  X 14   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X 10  4  1 15   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  3  8  2 13   ST MARKS FL       99  X  X  X 99
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  8  2 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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