[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 262033
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP 29 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.9N  83.5W      37  X  X  X 37   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  8  8
34.2N  82.0W       3 20  3  X 26   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
36.5N  78.0W       X  1 13  3 17   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     2  X  X  X  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL   34  X  X  X 34   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA       12  9  X  X 21   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      1 13  4  X 18   VENICE FL         86  X  X  X 86
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  7 10  X 17   TAMPA FL          99  X  X  X 99
WILMINGTON NC      X  3 12  1 16   CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1 11  2 14   ST MARKS FL       50  X  X  X 50
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  9  4 13   APALACHICOLA FL   35  X  X  X 35
NORFOLK VA         X  X  8  7 15   PANAMA CITY FL    26  X  X  X 26
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3 11 14   PENSACOLA FL       9  2  X  X 11
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1 11 12   MOBILE AL          2  X  X  X  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 11 11   GULF 29N 85W      24  X  X  X 24
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 87W       2  X  X  X  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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