[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 26 08:28:53 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KJAX 261328
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-261600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
927 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

...RAINBANDS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD INTO NORTH FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
PUTNAM...ALACHUA...MARION...UNION...BAKER...GILCHRIST...COLUMBIA...
SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN...GLYNN...
WAYNE...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...APPLING...PIERCE...WARE...JEFF DAVIS...
BACON...COFFEE...ATKINSON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ST AUGUSTINE
SOUTHWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR ALL OF NORTH
FLORIDA AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...ATKINSON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...ECHOLS...GLYNN...PIERCE
AND WARE...
...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...
HAMILTON...MARION...PUTNAM...SUWANNEE...AND UNION COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND IN GEORGIA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE...
BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...APPLING...PIERCE...WARE...JEFF DAVIS...BACON...
COFFEE...ATKINSON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...

...STORM INFORMATION...
RAINBANDS HAVE NOW SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO ST. JOHNS...PUTNAM...
MARION...AND NORTHERN ALACHUA COUNTIES AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY.

AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 50 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR
ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.  JEANNE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY AS
THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN SOME PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. ALL EXPECTED IMPACTS
ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE ULTIMATE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF JEANNE
AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD PUT YOUR FAMILYS HURRICANE
PLAN INTO EFFECT AND HEED THE ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS. EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FAMILYS
HURRICANE PLAN AND HURRICANE KIT. MARINE INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD
PRONE AREAS MAY WISH TO SECURE PROPERTY WHICH COULD FLOOD. RESIDENTS
ALONG AREA RIVERS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.

GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE USED IN WELL VENTILATED AREAS...DO
NOT RUN GENERATORS IN GARAGES OR SHEDS. NEVER USE CANDLES OR ANY OPEN
FLAME FOR LIGHTING DUE TO THE RISK OF FIRE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES ARE
EXPECTED TODAY. THESE TIDAL VALUES ARE DUE TO BOTH THE EFFECTS OF THE
HURRICANE AND HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING
FULL MOON. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS...
TIDE LEVELS ON THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AND OTHER COASTAL WATERWAYS ARE
ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDES AND POSSIBLE
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
DEPENDANT UPON THE RIVER FOR DRAINAGE. THE MOST LIKELY TIME
FOR SUCH CONDITIONS WILL BE AROUND THE TIME OF THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE THIS EVENING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
DUVAL...ST. JOHNS AND NASSAU COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING OCCASIONAL
GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN FLAGLER
COUNTY THIS MORNING AND THESE CONDIITONS WILL CONTINUE AS ADDTIONAL
BANDS MOVE IN. THE AREA FROM ST. AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD WILL HAVE A RISK
OF WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE IN STRONGER BANDS LATER
TODAY.

CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER
GUSTS LATER TODAY AS RAINBANDS BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTHWARD.

FORM MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES...OUTER BANDS HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE IN
WITH WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH WITH
POSSIBLE HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS STRONGER BANDS CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA.

FOR ALACHUA...GILCHRIST AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUAL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 65 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

FOR BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON...AND UNION
COUNTIES...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 45 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  SUSTAINED WINDS MAY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SOME AREAS TONIGHT AND AN
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR SOME
PORTION OF THE AREA LATER TODAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.  HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION WILL
CONTINUE TO WORSEN TODAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BECOME THE GREATEST IMPACT FROM JEANNE ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK...HURRICANE JEANNE WILL POSE A THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST NEAR THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AREAS ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES. SUCH RAINS WOULD
POSE A RENEWED OR CONTINUED THREAT OF FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.

AS JEANNE MOVES OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF APALACHEE BAY
IT MAY BEGIN TO TAP MOISTURE FROM THE NORTHEASTERN GULF AND APALACHEE
BAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL VALUES OVER
PORTIONS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY INTO MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR ALL ON NORTH
FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY AS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JEANNE BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD. MOST OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE STORM'S CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A
FAVORED LOCATION FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES...CAN AND OFTEN DO
DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

LETRO

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