[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 23:14:16 CDT 2004
WTUS82 KMFL 260413
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-261100-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1200 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004
...EYE WALL NOW IMPACTING EXTREME NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE...GLADES...
HENDRY...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES, HENDRY, AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE METRO AREAS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...AND WESTERN BROWARD COUNTIES.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL COLLIER AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
COLLIER AND WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 8 PM
SUNDAY NIGHT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 37 MILES
NORTH OF WEST PALM BEACH OR ABOUT 15 MILES EAST OF STUART. JEANNE IS MOVING
SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MILES AN HOUR
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING JEANNE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 MAJOR HURRICANE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN PROTECTED BUILDINGS UNTIL HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
HURRICANE JEANNE IS LANDFALLING JUST NORTH OF PALM BEACH COUNTY TONIGHT. HIGH
TIDE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WAS AROUND 6 PM SATURDAY WHICH
MEANS THE WATER LEVEL REACHED HIGH TIDE AND THEN CONTINUED TO RISE TO A MAXIMUM
THROUGH 9 OR 10 PM BEFORE FINALLY BEGINNING TO RECEDE SLOWLY. THIS WOULD
HAVE RESULTED IN A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF AROUND 3 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST PART OF PALM BEACH COUNTY INCLUDING JUPITER INLET
AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHED THE COAST. MINOR FLOODING OF BEACH ROADS AND
WATERFRONT NEIGHBORHOODS AROUND JUPITER INLET COLONY...TEQUESTA...AND JUNO BEACH
WAS POSSIBLE BUT THE STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE FROM NOW
ON AS THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVES INLAND.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVEL WAS NEAR 16 FEET ON SATURDAY. AS WINDS
INCREASE AND SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT...WATER LEVELS
INSIDE THE DIKE WERE EXPECTED TO RISE AROUND 4 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SHORE
AROUND 11 PM SATURDAY, AROUND 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE BY 2 TO 3 AM,
AND AROUND 4 FEET ALONG THE NORTH SHORE AROUND 5 TO 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING. AT
11 PM...THE ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS REPORTED A STORM SURGE OF NEARLY 3 FEET
AT PORT MAYACA ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE LAKE. ALL AREAS OUTSIDE PROTECTION OF
THE HOOVER DIKE...INCLUDING RITTA...TORRY...AND KREAMER ISLANDS AS WELL AS
MARINAS AND DOCKS IN THE BELLE GLADE AND PAHOKEE AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED TO
FLOOD. THE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTS INHABITED AREAS TO MORE THAN 30 FEET.
FOR THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST...ONSHORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL CAUSE STORM TIDES UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET FROM CAPE SABLE TO MARCO ISLAND
AROUND 4 TO 5 AM AND ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET NORTH OF MARCO ISLAND TO BONITA BEACH
AROUND 6 TO 7 AM ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
ROADS BETWEEN MARCO ISLAND AND CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY.
...WIND IMPACTS...
LATEST AVAILABLE REPORTS FROM WEST PALM BEACH FROM 10 PM REPORTED WINDS OF
55 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 74 MPH. HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTS FROM THE JUPITER
AREA INDICATED ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO 100 MPH CLOSER TO THE EYE WALL
AROUND 11 PM. AT 11 PM ALSO...LAKE WORTH WAS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF
60 MPH WITH A PEAK WIND GUST OF 90 MPH. ACROSS BROWARD COUNTY...WIND REPORTS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY INDICATED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...40 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF BROWARD COUNTY...WINDS REPORTS INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. WINDS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WERE MAINLY 20 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 MPH PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY. AT 11 MPH...FOWEY ROCKS...JUST SOUTH OF KEY BISCAYNE...WAS REPORTING
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH. IN THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
REGION...WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 80 TO 85 MPH.
WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH
FLORIDA GUSTING CLOSE TO 35 MPH.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 73 MPH...WILL LIKELY LAST OVER
PORTIONS OF METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 100 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH
COUNTY. WINDS OVER METRO PALM BEACH WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY MORNING AND
ARE FORECAST TO BE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON SUNDAY.
ACROSS BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...CURRENT WIND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST MORE BEFORE GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY
MORNING.
OVER INLAND AREAS OF PALM BEACH...BROWARD...GLADES...AND HENDRY COUNTIES ...
WINDS SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MILES PER HOUR OR GREATER...
WILL LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. FREQUENT GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL OCCUR
OVER INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND WESTERN PALM BEACH
COUNTY...EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
LAKE OKEECHOBEE...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF JEANNE MOVES FARTHER SOUTH. THE
WINDS WILL DECREASE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST REGION...INCLUDING BIG CYPRESS SWAMP...EVERGLADES
NATIONAL PARK AND THE NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AREA...FREQUENT WINDS GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 39 MPH...TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE FROM NOW THROUGH NOON
SUNDAY.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
AT 11 PM...SETTLEMENT POINT IN THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF THE BAHAMAS...REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 44 KNOTS WITH A PEAK WIND GUST OF 71 KNOTS REPORTED AROUND 10
PM. LAKE WORTH REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 52 KNOTS WITH A PEAK WIND
GUST OF 78 KNOTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING THE PALM BEACH AND
NORTHERN BROWARD COUNTY COASTAL WATERS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE
SOUTHERN BROWARD TO THE MIAMI-DADE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. ACROSS LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...SUSTAINED WINDS WERE REPORTED TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 KNOTS RANGE
WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...MOSTLY IN THE FORM
OF FREQUENT GUSTS...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.
...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES HAVE FALLEN
OVER PORTIONS OF METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY...FROM WEST PALM BEACH TO BOYNTON BEACH
WESTWARD...SINCE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 6 TO 8 INCHES
JUST SOUTH OF WEST PALM BEACH. ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. RAIN GAGES ACROSS PALM BEACH SHOW 2
TO 4 INCHES SO FAR TODAY. AN ISOLATED SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT
RAIN GAGE REPORT INDICATE CLOSE TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN TODAY SOUTH OF
WELLINGTON...THE SAME AREA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES
MAY HAVE FALLEN SINCE FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MEAN MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A FEW SPOTS NEARING ONE FOOT OF RAIN OR
MORE. THE AREA WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEEING THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE PALM BEACH COUNTY AND AREAS AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. IF
FEEDER BANDS SETS UP ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CONTINUE THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY AND SPREAD FURTHER SOUTH.
THIS RAIN WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FRESHWATER FLOODING AND A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT.
...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE RAINBANDS OF
JEANNE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING PARTICULARLY AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED AROUND 2 AM TODAY.
$$
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