[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 260252
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE BEGINNING TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER MARTIN AND
ST. LUCIE COUNTIES...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST MAY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY ON SUNDAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DOWNGRADED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND
BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...BIMINI...AND THE BERRY ISLANDS...AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ELEUTHERA...ANDROS...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE
RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF
EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES
MILES EAST OF STUART FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING INLAND NEAR MIDNIGHT...AND
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
JEANNE IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.  JEANNE WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES.  A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM WIND TOWER NEAR
VERO BEACH RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 68 MPH WITH A GUST
TO 94 MPH.

AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  953
MB...28.14 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.  A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE
THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE
OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLY REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE OVER FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA
PENINSULA TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...27.2 N... 80.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 953 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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