[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 260238
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.2N  82.9W      46  X  X  X 46   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
31.0N  83.5W      18 10  X  1 29   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
33.0N  83.0W       X 15  5  1 21   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL    2  X  X  X  2
COCOA BEACH FL    81  X  X  X 81   FT MYERS FL       22  X  X  X 22
DAYTONA BEACH FL  56  X  X  X 56   VENICE FL         33  X  X  X 33
JACKSONVILLE FL   32  1  X  X 33   TAMPA FL          52  X  X  X 52
SAVANNAH GA        7 12  1  1 21   CEDAR KEY FL      45  X  X  X 45
CHARLESTON SC      1  9  5  2 17   ST MARKS FL       22  6  X  X 28
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  3  7  6 16   APALACHICOLA FL   14  7  X  1 22
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  5 10 16   PANAMA CITY FL     5 12  1  X 18
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3 12 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  7  2  X  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1 14 15   MOBILE AL          X  2  3  1  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 18 18   GULFPORT MS        X  1  1  1  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 16 16   GULF 29N 85W      16  4  X  X 20
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 14 14   GULF 29N 87W       X  5  1  X  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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