[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 20:39:39 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KTBW 260139
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-260400-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
921 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...HURRICANE JEANNE MOVING ASHORE ALONG THE EAST COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...
LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...
HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE...CHARLOTTE AND DESOTO
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO
ENGLEWOOD OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
SARASOTA...MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO...
CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER...POLK...
HIGHLANDS AND HARDEE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA OR ABOUT 55 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE
FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14
MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA.

...CURRENT RADAR INFORMATION...
OUTER RAINBANDS EXTEND OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ADDITIONAL
RAIN BANDS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE MOVING INTO COUNTIES NORTH AND
EAST OF TAMPA BAY AND WILL BE MOVING INTO THE TAMPA BAY AREA BY 11
PM.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 170 MILES. HURRICANE JEANNE IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO JUST NORTHEAST
OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE TONIGHT...THEN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN HIGHLANDS
COUNTY AFTER 2 AM TONIGHT...WITH THE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD
THROUGH POLK AND THEN INTO SUMTER COUNTY BY DAYBREAK. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTH ALONG THE GULF COAST
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT IN LEE COUNTY AND WILL REACH LEVY COUNTY BY
LATE MORNING. TIMING FOR THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS IN THE COASTAL
COUNTIES... POSSIBLY GUSTING TO HURRICANE FORCE...WILL BE JUST BEFORE
DAYBREAK FOR ENGLEWOOD TO TAMPA BAY...BY MID MORNING ALONG THE NATURE
COAST...AND BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON FOR LEVY COUNTY.

MOBILE HOMES IN THE DIRECT PATH OF THE STORM WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
TO SEVERE DAMAGE. IN ADDITION...HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE AS WELL AS BLOWN
OUT WINDOWS. MOST LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED...SOME
DESTROYED. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL
FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED
DOWN. ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUNDS. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.

A MUCH LARGER AREA WILL BE EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. IN THESE AREAS...EXPECT SCATTERED LARGE
TREES TO FALL...LARGE DEBRIS BLOCKING ROADWAYS...AND KNOCKED DOWN
POWER LINES. ALSO...SOME ROOF AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE.
THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN WHICH AREA WILL BEAR THE
BRUNT OF THE WIND DAMAGE FROM JEANNE. BE PREPARED!

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AS JEANNE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD SUNDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME ONSHORE AND
BEGIN TO RAISE WATER LEVELS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY...AND 1 TO 3 FEET ELSEWHERE.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF JEANNE WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF
FLORIDA...INCLUDING HIGHLANDS...POLK AND SUMTER COUNTIES. THE
HEAVIEST AND MOST CONTINUOUS RAINS WILL BE FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES WHERE
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE JUST SOUTH OF THE ACTUAL STORM TRACK...THEN 3 TO
6 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH AND HARDEE COUNTIES.
FARTHER SOUTH...2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS FORECAST IN MANATEE...
SARASOTA...DESOTO...CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE...AND SOME MAIN THOROUGHFARES MAY BE
CLOSED. SOME SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL. LARGER
RIVERS WILL RISE. SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE ALREADY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR RIVERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE TO MAJOR
FLOODING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE GULF MAKING CONDITIONS VERY
HAZARDOUS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE WATERS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE
RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS SUCH...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...AND DESOTO
COUNTIES...UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA. TORNADOES AT NIGHT ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. STAY
TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION TO SAVE LIFE AND PROPERTY.

...SHELTER AND ROAD STATUS...
PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SHELTER AND
ROAD STATUS.

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA FORECAST
OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

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