[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 252243
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  49A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...DANGEROUS CORE OF HURRICANE JEANNE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE
RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE SABLE
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE.

AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.1 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA.

JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL REACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TONIGHT.  HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND AS MUCH AS 100 MILES
ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  JEANNE
IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL IN FLORIDA.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES.  SETTLEMENT POINT ON THE WESTERN END OF GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 98 MPH.  A FLORIDA COASTAL
MONITORING PROGRAM WIND TOWER IN VERO BEACH RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 63 MPH.

THE LATEST MINIMUM PRESSURE CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL OCCURRING NEAR
THE WESTERN END OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.  A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE
THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE
OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLE REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA
PENINSULA TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...27.1 N... 79.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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