[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 252033
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.7N  82.3W      47  X  X  X 47   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7
30.2N  83.3W      22  9  X  X 31   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
32.5N  83.0W       1 15  7  X 23   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           2  X  X  X  2   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL   63  X  X  X 63   MARCO ISLAND FL    7  X  X  X  7
FT PIERCE FL      78  X  X  X 78   FT MYERS FL       23  X  X  X 23
COCOA BEACH FL    77  X  X  X 77   VENICE FL         27  X  X  X 27
DAYTONA BEACH FL  52  X  X  1 53   TAMPA FL          40  X  X  X 40
JACKSONVILLE FL   30  3  X  X 33   CEDAR KEY FL      38  X  X  X 38
SAVANNAH GA        4 15  3  X 22   ST MARKS FL        8 17  X  X 25
CHARLESTON SC      X  8  8  2 18   APALACHICOLA FL    3 16  1  X 20
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2  8  6 16   PANAMA CITY FL     1 13  2  X 16
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  6 10 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  2  6  X  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2 13 15   MOBILE AL          X  X  3  1  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1 14 15   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  1  2
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 17 17   GULF 29N 85W       5 12  1  X 18
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 14 14   GULF 29N 87W       X  3  3  X  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 11 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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WWWW
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