[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 12:45:28 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMLB 251744
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
252345-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
140 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE JEANNE HEADING FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO SAINT
AUGUSTINE WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL
INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO SAINT
AUGUSTINE...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL
COUNTIES FROM MARTIN TO VOLUSIA. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL
INTERIOR COUNTIES...INCLUDING LAKE...SEMINOLE...ORANGE...OSCEOLA...
AND OKEECHOBEE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES IN
ANTICIPATION OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JEANNE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 135 PM EDT...THE 40 MILE WIDE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
BY RADAR ABOUT 145 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TODAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS FOR JEANNE.
NOW IS THE TIME TO PICK YOUR SPOT TO RIDE OUT THE STORM. AN INTERIOR
ROOM WITH NO WINDOWS IN A WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSE OUTSIDE OF THE
EVACUATION ZONE IS BEST. HAVE A BATTERY OPERATED NOAA WEATHER AND AM
AND FM RADIOS WITH YOU TO RECEIVE CRITICAL UPDATES DURING THE
APPROACH OF JEANNE AFTER THE POWER GOES OUT. HAVE MATTRESSES AND
PILLOWS FOR COMFORT AND PROTECTION.

...WIND IMPACTS...
JEANNE IS MOVING NORTH OF WEST AND IS LIKELY TO MAKE LANDFALL
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN STUART AND VERO BEACH OR EVEN SEBASTIAN INLET AS A
MAJOR CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AND SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS
POSSIBLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES AND
VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE COAST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS ASSURED OF
RECEIVING SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OR HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS.
WIND DAMAGE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE JEANNE MAKES LANDFALL WILL
BE EXTREME AND SIMILAR TO THAT WITH IVAN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF
MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES BY 3 OR 4 PM AND SPREAD
OVER ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL BEGIN OVER MARTIN...MARTIN...ST LUCIE COUNTIES THIS
EVENING AND SPREAD OVER BREVARD COUNTY AND INLAND OVER THE ORLANDO
METRO AREA DURING THE NIGHT.

INLAND WIND DAMAGE MAY WELL BE WORSE THAN WITH CHARLEY. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER SEMINOLE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE OVER VOLUSIA
COUNTY EARLY SUNDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. HIGH TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL AND
OCCUR AROUND 6 AM SUNDAY. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE THE
PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE FLOOD THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH JEANNE IS EXTREME. AS A RESULT...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.
THE WATER TABLE IS ALREADY HIGH ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DUE TO
COPIOUS RAINFALL THROUGHOUT THE SUMMER...INCLUDING HURRICANES CHARLEY
AND FRANCES. MANY AREAS ALREADY HAVE STANDING WATER...AND IN SOME
CASES...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER...PROPERTIES ARE
ALREADY UNDER WATER.

BETWEEN 6 AND 12 INCHES OF RAIN ARE FORECAST ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK
OF THE CENTER OF JEANNE. THIS WILL AGGRAVATE PRE-EXISTING FLOODING
CONDITIONS...AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS HIGHLY LIKELY IN MANY AREAS.
BLOCKAGE OF STORM DRAINS...STREAMS...CANALS AND OTHER NATURAL AND
MAN MADE RETENTION AREAS MAY ALSO AGGRAVATE THE POTENTIAL FLOOD
THREAT AS THESE HAVE VERY LITTLE ROOM TO HANDLE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF.

THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WHICH IS ALREADY IN FLOOD CAN EXPECT ADDITIONAL
RISES...WITH MAJOR FLOODING A POSSIBILITY. IF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED OVER THE SAINT JOHNS BASIN IN CENTRAL FLORIDA...
AN INITIAL RISE IN THE WATER LEVEL NEAR DELAND...ABOVE LAKE HARNEY...
AND NEAR SANFORD...WILL OCCUR WITH THE HEAVY RAIN. THEN OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS...RIVER LEVELS WILL RESPOND TO THE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM
TODAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

HAGEMEYER

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