[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 251458
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.0N  81.5W      49  X  X  X 49   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 12 12
29.5N  82.5W      22 10  X  X 32   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
31.0N  83.0W       1 20  3  X 24   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W    99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL   20  X  X  X 20
MARATHON FL        2  X  X  X  2   FT MYERS FL       28  1  X  X 29
MIAMI FL          30  X  X  X 30   VENICE FL         27  X  X  1 28
W PALM BEACH FL   58  X  X  X 58   TAMPA FL          33  1  X  X 34
FT PIERCE FL      66  X  X  X 66   CEDAR KEY FL      18 11  1  X 30
COCOA BEACH FL    57  X  X  X 57   ST MARKS FL        1 15  4  1 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL  42  X  X  X 42   APALACHICOLA FL    X 11  4  1 16
JACKSONVILLE FL   15 13  1  X 29   PANAMA CITY FL     X  5  8  1 14
SAVANNAH GA        1 14  5  2 22   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  5  3  8
CHARLESTON SC      X  6  7  6 19   MOBILE AL          X  X  2  2  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  6 11 18   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  1  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3 14 17   GULF 29N 85W       X 11  3  1 15
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1 14 15   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  4  1  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 12 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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