[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 250241
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.2N  79.1W      46  X  X  X 46   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
28.0N  81.0W      13 17  1  X 31   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  5  5
29.5N  81.8W       1 19  3  1 24   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W    21  X  X  X 21   KEY WEST FL        X  2  1  X  3
MYGF 266N 787W    47  X  X  X 47   MARCO ISLAND FL    3 11  X  1 15
MARATHON FL        1  3  1  X  5   FT MYERS FL        2 15  1  X 18
MIAMI FL          15  4  X  X 19   VENICE FL          1 15  2  X 18
W PALM BEACH FL   29  2  X  1 32   TAMPA FL           X 19  2  X 21
FT PIERCE FL      30  4  X  1 35   CEDAR KEY FL       X 12  7  1 20
COCOA BEACH FL    20 13  X  X 33   ST MARKS FL        X  1 10  5 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL   4 22  1  X 27   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  8  5 13
JACKSONVILLE FL    X 12  8  2 22   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  5  6 11
SAVANNAH GA        X  2 11  6 19   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  5  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  8  8 17   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  4 11 15   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1 12 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  8  3 12
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 10 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  5  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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