[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 241441
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.4N  76.6W      46  X  X  X 46   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4
26.8N  78.9W       8 23  X  X 31   KEY WEST FL        X  2  4  1  7
27.9N  80.7W       X 14  9  1 24   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  5  9  1 15
MYSM 241N 745W     5  X  X  X  5   FT MYERS FL        X  4 11  2 17
MYEG 235N 758W     2  X  X  X  2   VENICE FL          X  1 12  3 16
MYAK 241N 776W     4  6  X  X 10   TAMPA FL           X  1 13  4 18
MYNN 251N 775W    17  6  X  X 23   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X 10  7 17
MYGF 266N 787W    10 21  1  X 32   ST MARKS FL        X  X  2 12 14
MARATHON FL        X  4  5  1 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  2 11 13
MIAMI FL           X 16  2  1 19   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1 11 12
W PALM BEACH FL    1 20  3  X 24   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  9  9
FT PIERCE FL       X 20  4  1 25   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X 14  9  1 24   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  4 14  3 21   BURAS LA           X  X  X  4  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X 10  8 18   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  4 11 15   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2 11 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2 11 13
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  8  8
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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