[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 241436
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  43.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.3N  45.5W      55  X  X  X 55   19.8N  46.7W       2 21  4  1 28
17.8N  46.2W      31  7  X  X 38

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN


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