[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 241235
HLSJAX
FLZ033-038-241530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
835 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

...HURRICANE JEANNE ADVANCES TOWARD FLORIDA...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...ST. JOHNS AND FLAGLER.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH. A
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 315
MILES...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING JEANNE A CATEGORY 2 ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON INTENSITY SCALE. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 8 MPH
AND SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

GIVEN THE FORECAST TRACK...WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE IN
THE WATCH AREA ON SATURDAY AS JEANNE APPROACHES THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA. IF JEANNE ACCELERATES TOWARD THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND
TRACKS MORE NORTHWEST HURRICANE FORCE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
SATURDAY EVENING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REVIEW YOUR FAMILYS HURRICANE PLAN AND HURRICANE KIT. MARINE
INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY WISH TO SECURE PROPERTY
WHICH COULD FLOOD.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE
HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED WINDS GENERALLY IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED FOR
SATURDAY WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO TODAY. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD STAY IN PORT. HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE
TODAY AND GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH SATURDAY. BEACH EROSION WILL
CONTINUE TO WORSEN ON SATURDAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HURRICANE JEANNE WILL POSE A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. AREAS ALONG THE PATH COULD
SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE AREA MOST FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IS ALONG AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE STORM TRACK. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...ST
JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES WILL BE IN THE PATH OF CONCERN FOR
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. THE FAVORED AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT MAY
SHIFT FURTHER INLAND...IF THE TRACK OF HURRICANE JEANNE SHIFTS
FURTHER INLAND.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

ABE



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