[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 240838
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  43.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.5N  45.7W      57  X  X  X 57   19.5N  47.2W       3 24  3  X 30
18.0N  46.5W      29 10  X  X 39

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN


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