[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 240832
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.2N  75.4W      43  X  X  X 43   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
26.6N  77.6W       9 18  X  1 28   KEY WEST FL        X  X  5  2  7
27.1N  79.5W       X 13  6  1 20   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  9  3 13
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  1  2   FT MYERS FL        X  1  9  4 14
MYSM 241N 745W    11  1  X  X 12   VENICE FL          X  X  8  6 14
MYEG 235N 758W     2  3  X  X  5   TAMPA FL           X  X  7  8 15
MYAK 241N 776W     1  8  X  1 10   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3 11 14
MYNN 251N 775W     5 13  1  X 19   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 12 12
MYGF 266N 787W     1 18  2  1 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X 11 11
MARATHON FL        X  1  6  2  9   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X 10 10
MIAMI FL           X  6  7  2 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  7  7
W PALM BEACH FL    X  8  8  2 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  5 11  3 19   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  3 11  4 18   BURAS LA           X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  9  8 17   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3 11 14   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1 11 12   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 11 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 10 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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