[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 240236
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

47.5N  39.4W      31  2  X  X 33   57.0N  27.0W       X  X  9  X  9
52.2N  35.4W       1 16  2  X 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BERG/AVILA


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