[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 23 13:00:16 CDT 2004


WTUS84 KLCH 231759
HLSLCH
LAZ051>055-TXZ215-216-232130-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
100 PM CDT THU SEP 23 2004

...TROPICAL STORM IVAN APPROACHING THE SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND
UPPER TEXAS COASTS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...AS WELL AS IBERIA...VERMILION...SAINT MARY...IBERIA...
CAMERON...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 MPH
OR GREATER CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...WHICH INCLUDES THE PARISHES ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
10...PLUS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 29.3
NORTH...92.8 WEST... OR ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA. THIS LOCATION IS ALSO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SABINE PASS
TEXAS OR 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

TROPICAL STORM IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD
BRING THE CENTER ACROSS THE COASTLINE NEAR OR EAST OF SABINE PASS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS LIVING IN COASTAL PARISHES AND COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY
JEFFERSON COUNTY...CAMERON PARISH AND VERMILION PARISH...
SHOULD BE READY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO
BEGIN SPREADING OVER THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH RECEPTACLES...LAWN FURNITURE...AND
RECREATIONAL EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS OR TIED DOWN TO HELP
PREVENT DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUILDINGS...SPECIFICALLY WINDOWS AND
GLASS DOORS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
RESIDENTS NEAR THE COAST SHOULD BE ALERT TO COASTAL FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY DURING PERIODS OF HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. STORM SURGE AND
TIDAL VALUES WILL RUN BETWEEN 2 AND 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MEANS
OVERALL WATER LEVELS WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET NEAR THE
TIMES OF LOW TIDE BY THIS EVENING...TO AS MUCH AS 5 FEET DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE TIDAL TIMES FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS:

AT SABINE PASS THIS AFTERNOON...A LOW TIDE OF 0.0 FEET AT 6:18 PM. ON
FRIDAY...HIGH TIDE OF 2.2 FEET AT 2:39 AM.

AT CAMERON THIS AFTERNOON...LOW TIDE OF 0.0 FEET AT 5:32 PM. ON
FRIDAY...HIGH TIDE OF 2.7 FEET AT 1:43 AM.

AT VERMILION BAY THIS AFTERNOON...LOW TIDE OF 0.0 FEET AT 6:23 PM. ON
FRIDAY...HIGH TIDE OF 2.2 FEET AT 3:25 AM.

DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE SURF UNTIL IVAN
HAS PASSED.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
RAINBANDS OF IVAN MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARISHES OF LOUISIANA AND
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES
POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 45
KNOTS POSSIBLE...OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 10
TO 15 FEET...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...CAN ALSO
BE EXPECTED. INLAND...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...RIVERS...
MINOR BACKWATER TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG THE LOWER
CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO ONSHORE WINDS TO THE RIGHT AND IN THE WAKE OF
THE CENTER OF IVAN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE ON TROPICAL STORM IVAN WILL BE ISSUED BY 430 PM CDT
THURSDAY.

$$

ESCUDE/LOCKWOOD

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