[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 231447
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.3N  42.7W      80  X  X  X 80   14.5N  43.8W      19  7  2  1 29
13.2N  43.2W      55  X  X  X 55

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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