[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 231446
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.6N  72.6W      43  X  X  X 43   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5
25.7N  74.6W      12 16  1  X 29   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
26.0N  76.8W       X 11 10  1 22   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  2  3   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  8  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 11 13
MYMM 224N 730W     1  1  X  X  2   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1 12 13
MYSM 241N 745W     6 11  X  1 18   VENICE FL          X  X  X 12 12
MYEG 235N 758W     X  8  3  X 11   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 12 12
MYAK 241N 776W     X  3  8  2 13   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 10 10
MYNN 251N 775W     X  5 11  2 18   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X 13  5 18   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
MARATHON FL        X  X  2  9 11   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  6  9 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  6 10 16   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  4 12 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2 13 15   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 13 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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