[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 23 03:35:56 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 230835
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.4N  72.1W      45  X  X  X 45   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 11 11
25.6N  74.0W      15 16  X  X 31   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  8  8
26.0N  75.9W       X 15  7  1 23   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  8  8
MYMM 224N 730W     1  2  1  X  4   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 11 11
MYSM 241N 745W     2 15  1  X 18   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 11 11
MYEG 235N 758W     X  5  5  2 12   VENICE FL          X  X  X 11 11
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1  8  4 13   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 10 10
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2 11  4 17   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  8  8
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  9  8 17   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  9 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  2 11 13   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  2 13 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  2 12 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  6  6
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1 12 13   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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