[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 23 03:35:56 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 230835
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 23 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.4N 72.1W 45 X X X 45 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 11 11
25.6N 74.0W 15 16 X X 31 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 8 8
26.0N 75.9W X 15 7 1 23 SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 1 2 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4 KEY WEST FL X X X 8 8
MYMM 224N 730W 1 2 1 X 4 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 11 11
MYSM 241N 745W 2 15 1 X 18 FT MYERS FL X X X 11 11
MYEG 235N 758W X 5 5 2 12 VENICE FL X X X 11 11
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 8 4 13 TAMPA FL X X X 10 10
MYNN 251N 775W X 2 11 4 17 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 8 8
MYGF 266N 787W X X 9 8 17 ST MARKS FL X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL X X 1 9 10 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X 2 11 13 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 13 15 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 12 14 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 12 13 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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