[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 221501
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
JEANNE...DRIFTING SOUTHWARD ABOUT 530 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS...ON HURRICANE KARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1490 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF WESTERNMOST AZORES...AND ON TROPICAL STORM
LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 1165 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SATELLITE IMAGES...ALONG WITH SHIP AND BUOY REPORTS...INDICATE THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO MAY BE ORGANIZING
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
NEAR THE SURFACE CENTER THIS MORNING...AND WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE HAVE BEEN REPORTED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...BUT
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE BY THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST AND OVER ADJACENT WATERS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 790 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...OR ALSO ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF TROPICAL STORM LISA...IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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