[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 22 03:32:28 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 220832
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.1N  69.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
26.1N  70.5W      56  X  X  X 56   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
26.3N  71.8W      25  3  X  1 29   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  3  3   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  4  4   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  3  4   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  4  4  8   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  5  5 11   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  2  6  5 13   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  3  6  9   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  5  6   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  7  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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