[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 15:30:56 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 212030
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.5N 68.7W 99 X X X 99 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4
26.2N 69.0W 69 X X X 69 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3
26.4N 69.6W 85 X X X 85 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 4 6 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 4 6 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X X 3 5 8 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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