[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 15:30:56 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 212030
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.5N  68.7W      99  X  X  X 99   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
26.2N  69.0W      69  X  X  X 69   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
26.4N  69.6W      85  X  X  X 85   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2  4  6   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  4  6   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  3  5  8   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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