[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 212028
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.6N  49.1W      38  1  X  1 40   34.1N  45.0W       X  1 19  3 23
30.4N  47.4W       X 25  4  X 29   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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