[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 211430
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.2N  42.7W      57  X  X  X 57   15.9N  45.6W       8 21  1  X 30
15.7N  44.3W      33  5  1  X 39

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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