[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 211423
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.5N  49.6W      37  X  X  1 38   30.9N  46.9W       X  1 17  3 21
28.0N  48.6W       1 23  3  X 27

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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