[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 03:30:51 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 210830
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.1N 69.3W 99 X X X 99 MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 5 6
26.5N 69.5W 49 X X X 49 MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 5 6
26.3N 70.0W 55 X X X 55 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2 BERMUDA X X 1 2 3
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 4 4 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 5 7 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 4 6 11 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X 2 6 8 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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