[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 03:30:51 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 210830
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.1N  69.3W      99  X  X  X 99   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  5  6
26.5N  69.5W      49  X  X  X 49   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  5  6
26.3N  70.0W      55  X  X  X 55   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2   BERMUDA            X  X  1  2  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  4  4   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  5  7   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  1  4  6 11   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2  6  8   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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