[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 210827
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.9N  49.5W      34  X  X  X 34   29.2N  47.8W       X  4 14  3 21
26.5N  49.5W       2 20  2  X 24

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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