[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 20 21:44:32 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 210244
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.3N  69.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2  5  7
26.7N  69.4W      50  X  X  X 50   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  4  5
26.3N  69.7W      38  1  X  X 39   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  5  6
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   BERMUDA            X  X  1  3  4
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  3  4   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  5  7   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  1  4  6 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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