[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 202034
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.8N  49.6W      46  X  X  X 46   27.0N  49.5W       X  8 13  1 22
24.1N  50.1W      12 16  1  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE


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