[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 202031
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.7N  69.9W      30  1  X  X 31   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  4  4
27.6N  69.2W      22  2  1  1 26   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2  6  8
27.2N  68.8W      17  3  1  2 23   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  3  6  9
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  1  2  5  8
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  4  5
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   BERMUDA            X  X  1  4  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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