[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 201449
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  48.8W      49  1  X  X 50   25.0N  49.8W       X 13 17  1 31
22.5N  49.7W       9 27  X  X 36

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE


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